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Re: [OM] The coming generation of 35mm CCD digital cameras (EOS future)

Subject: Re: [OM] The coming generation of 35mm CCD digital cameras (EOS future)
From: Joe Gwinn <joegwinn@xxxxxxxxx>
Date: Tue, 7 Jan 2003 09:00:32 -0500
At 3:06 AM +0000 1/6/03, olympus-digest wrote:
>Date: Sun, 5 Jan 2003 09:40:17 +0800
>From: "C.H.Ling" <chling@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>Subject: Re: [OM] The coming generation of 35mm CCD digital cameras
>
>I don't think it will ever happen, see the price of EOS 1V and F5, they are
>over 1.5K and only a film camera. They will keep the price in 2-3K range for
>model with top body (F5 and EOS1) and the price of a lower end one (F100 or
>F80 and EOS30, EOS3..etc) may be in the 1-1.5K range. On the other hand your
>last assumption for the SD9 may work, based on the feature I don't see a
>market for them.

I agree that the EOS line will stay at its present price point, US $2-3K.   The 
point I was making is that present-day EOS-1Ds technology will become available 
in bodies costing US $1K in about five years, not that EOS bodies will cost 
$1K.  The EOS bodies of five years hence will cost the inflated equivalent of 
$2-3K, and will be stuffed with the latest goodies, to justify the price.

Joe Gwinn


>- ----- Original Message -----
>From: "Joe Gwinn" <joegwinn@xxxxxxxxx>
>
> >
> > Applying Moore's Law to the EOS-1Ds body, this will drop from $9K to $1K
>in 18*log2(9/1)= 57 months, or 4.76 years.  The Pro14n body will drop to $1K
>in 18*log2(4/1)= 36 months, or 3 years.  The SD9 will take 18 months. 


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