Everybody seems to think that major players always stay on top and the
market doesn't change.
Anybody remember Topcon? Once near/at the top of the SLR quality heap.
Anybody remember Miranda? At one time one of the high volume, mid-price
makers.
Anybody remember the market before the OM-1? Oly had something
approaching 0hare of the SLR market. They came up with a better
product and became a major player.
The point is simply that whoever comes up with the first good small
sensor DSLR system, whether an established player or an upstart, will
generate a lot of sales. Sensor technology is nowhere near mature
development. Pixel density, sensitivity and noise will all improve for
quite some time and 4/3" will be quite sufficient to exceed the
performance of 35mm film in all respects except, perhaps, for looking
like film.
Want a crazy prediction? Mechanical SLRs using mirrors will be gone
within the decade. LCD or another display technology will exceed the
granularity and brightness of focusing screens and replace them,
reducing size, weight and cost.
Moose
George M. Anderson wrote:
Tom;
I agree with a lot of what you're saying. But Olympus is not a fringe player
in the digital photo market. Oly has been, at times, the market
leader. Course the Nikon and Canon top-o-the-lines, whatever they're
designated, are the ones to beat now. But the E-20 remains one of the best
values in the digi-photo market. And this new 4/3 system may just put Oly back
in the driver's seat, especially if they are right about the
lens/sensor relationship providing superior results. I wonder how much that
600/2.8 will cost?
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