Sorry, it is a 75% increase, which indeed is not as big as the original
(actual figures) 500%.
> The chances are raised from moderate to probable -the
Maybe so, but these figures don't prove it. Acxtually, I'm sure they do not
rise to "probable". I agree it is NOT smart to use phone while driving and
do not myself.
I just mean perhaps other distractions would produce increases too, like
tuning radio, using a zuiko, or talking to passengers (as was pointed out
earlier).
Note the "per thousand miles" rate was a complete guess on my part, it might
well be one or a million. The original quote gave no rate at all, just
percents. I do realize I'm mixing odds and rates here, which is dangerous.
----- Original Message -----
From: "Andrew Fildes" <afildes@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <olympus@xxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, July 14, 2005 4:38 AM
Subject: [OM] Re: OT Cell-phones and driving on roads OT
>
> Er, that would be a decrease mate. And what's that in proper,
> universal distance units?
> It's hard to tell when you're dodging a ton of flying metal whether
> the pilot is on the dog and bone or not so anecdotal evidence is
> unreliable - but the dozy bint who pulled into my path this a.m. was
> definitely online and didn't even see me or hear the screech of
> rubber. For a nanosecond I was tempted to hit her just to make the
> point - the SUV has good bull bars and her Korean buzzbox would have
> dented up nicely. But my nerve broke and my brakes work.
> The chances are raised from moderate to probable - what's the
> increase in single vehicle incidents recently?
> AndrewF
>
>
> On 14/07/2005, at 8:39 AM, Gary Holder (c) wrote:
>
>> Sorry, this means NOTHING without confidence intervals (or is that
>> just my
>> Ph.D.showing again?).
>> Are these figures signifiant?
>>
>> I've got a feeling we're talking about an increase in odds of from
>> 0.0001
>> to .0000175 per.thousand miles, or some such.
>
>
>
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