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[OM] Re: D40 official

Subject: [OM] Re: D40 official
From: Moose <olymoose@xxxxxxxxx>
Date: Fri, 17 Nov 2006 14:46:28 -0800
AG Schnozz wrote:
>> US$599 for the *kit*?!
>> If Nikon can actually fill the pipeline for this one, I bet it
>> will sell like "hotscakes" (per my old friend Lisa) this
>> holiday season.
>>     
> Canon is a sitting duck.
>   
It certainly looks like N has nailed the entry level DSLR - from the 
perspective of those knowledgeable in what does and doesn't contribute 
to effective image making. A very impressive package and super value.

Nonetheless, I think it is still a horse race. The 400D is very little 
more money even now, and the difference may easily get smaller if N is 
successful in getting the pipeline full for the holiday season. and it 
starts eating into C's planned sales volume. C obviously has big plans 
and a big marketing budget. My new PopPhoto came in a plastic bag with a 
Rebel XTi (400D) brochure - 8.5x11", heavy, coated paper, 20 pages. An 
impressive piece.

The big unknown is whether N can break the mp race. And it certainly 
should be broken. With P&Ss, it's geting to the point where it is 
actually decreasing the performance of the cameras. But this year, with 
DSLRs? I certainly don't know, but the old adage that nobody ever went 
broke by underestimating the intelligence of the average consumer 
probably still applies.

 From a practical standpoint, 6mp is plenty for an entry level DLSR. I 
was amazed at what the 6.3 mp in my first DLSR could do. From a market 
standpoint, how will buyers react to 6 mp vs. 10 mp with a modest price 
difference? I know that when people see my images or me carrying around 
a camera and ask anything about them, the first question is still "How 
many megapixels?". Explaining anything beyond that usually gets blank 
stares or polite, but vacant attention.

The other big factor is unit price from the perspective of the 
retailers. If I sell 100,000 cameras at $600, my gross is $10 million 
less than if I sell the same number of $700 cameras. That's why you will 
never see POS info at the retailer pointing out that there is just no 
difference between a 6 mp and a 10 mp camera if you never print over 
8x10. Instead, you see the POS labels at the big box stores listing 
simple specs that correlate nicely with price.

All he DSLR makers make products at all levels that are capable of 
producing drop dead gorgeous images in the hands of a competent 
photographer.

And nothing has changed from the later film days of entry level SLR 
sales. They all sell them with not-actually-awful, but way short of 
excellent, lenses that limit the capabilities of the pair more than 
anything about the camera body itself. I notice that the D40 comes with 
a new "II" version of their 18-55 mm kit lens. I wonder what that's 
about. I'm pretty sure it is more about decreasing production cost than 
increasing image quality. To be clear, I have no idea, nor do I care, 
whether N or C or whoever, has he best entry level kit zoom. They are 
all doing their best to balance cost and quality and still be able to 
sell enough cameras to survive.

Moose

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