Jan, take a break from this. You're going to pop a cork.
Wayne
----- Original Message -----
From: "Jan Steinman" <Jan@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <olympus@xxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Tuesday, February 27, 2007 12:53 AM
Subject: [OM] Re: OT Probably controversial
>
>> From: "Wayne Culberson" <waynecul@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>>
>> ... the predicitons of the 70's were more than a bit higher
>> than 6 billion.
>
> I was in school during that period, and I don't recall any such
> "predictions." There was only one fellow beating that drum, Paul
> Ehrlich, and some credit his warnings, at least in part, for
> declining population growth rates since.
>
> You are probably confusing "possibilities" with "predictions"
>
> In the first edition of The Population Bomb, Ehrlich wrote: "The
> possibilities are infinite; the single course of events that will be
> realized is unguessable. We can, however, look at a few possibilities
> as an aid to our thinking, using a device known as a 'scenario'.
> Scenarios are hypothetical sequences of events used as an aid in
> thinking about the future, especially in identifying possible
> decision points...Remember, these are just possibilities, not
> predictions."
>
> Personally, I think Ehrlich was only about 30-40 years off... not
> bad, in the scale of things...
>
> :::: You know you have reached perfection of design not when you have
> nothing more to add, but when you have nothing more to take away. --
> Antoine de'Exupery
> :::: Jan Steinman <http://www.Bytesmiths.com>
>
>
>
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