Silly boy! Don't you realize that "weather" is not "climate"? That's
why we can project 100 years into the future with confidence! Clouds
you say? Um, no we don't do clouds. They're too difficult to model.
But it doesn't matter. Trust us. :-)
Chuck Norcutt
Wayne Harridge wrote:
>
>
>
>> Chuck Norcutt <chucknorcutt@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>>
>> No guilt required. All of the doom and gloom forecasts from global
>> warming result from silly climate models whose fundamental assumptions
>> about highly positive feedback mechanisms are beginning to fall. This
>> recent study reported in Nature shows that the positive CO2 feedback
>> mechanism (CO2 begets warming which begets more CO2) is some 5 times
>> less than the models presently assume.
>> <http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v463/n7280/full/nature08769.html>
>>
>> I could add more (like negative feedback mechanisms not included in the
>> simplistic models) but I won't.
>>
>
> Bottom line: a MODEL is not the REAL THING just something that tries to
> represent the real thing to make the maths easier.
>
> How long have we been modelling weather ?
> How often does the forecast a WEEK in advance turn out to be significantly
> wrong ?
> What sort of accuracy would you expect from a weather model forecasting the
> weather 2 decades from today ?
>
> ...Wayne
>
> Wayne Harridge
>
> http://lrh.structuregraphs.com
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