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Re: [OM] Irene (not a hurricane)

Subject: Re: [OM] Irene (not a hurricane)
From: Chuck Norcutt <chucknorcutt@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Thu, 01 Sep 2011 12:46:18 -0400
Why are they predictions when the data I presented is the National 
Hurricane Center's historic tracking record of that storm?

Chuck Norcutt


On 9/1/2011 12:34 PM, Mike Lazzari wrote:
>> and was still a category 1 when it reached Cape Hateras.
>
>> Doesn't matter what the buoys say.  The National Hurricane Center has it
>> classified as a Cat 1 at least half way up the Delmarva peninsula.
> Classification is based upon _predictions_ and they were being cautious
> as they should be.  Indeed it was a hurricane when approaching the coast
> but it had diminished to Tropical Storm status by time time it reached
> Cape Hatteras. Sooner than predicted by the classification. Satellite
> imagery shows it as a poorly formed storm just off shore. The buoys
> don't lie.  Clearly Fox News doesn't care what the buoys say either.
> (they recently opinioned that the NWS wasn't necessary and should be
> sold-off since we have the weather channel...???)
>
> Weather professionals are poring over the data right now. Call it what
> you like but it wasn't a hurricane according to ground truthing. I'm not
> down playing the damage. In fact the storm obviously lost a lot of
> energy as it approached the coast and in doing so slowed down and dumped
> most of that energy in the form of warm water. I don't think this is
> unusual for the US east coast as the upper left quadrant of the storm
> comes ashore first. Imagery clearly showed the moisture moving to the
> W-NW quadrant. Unlike in the Gulf or Central America which get hit
> head-on. We had a storm with 1/2 over land and the other half over
> increasingly cooler water.
>
> We get freshets like Irene around here all the time. Just not as much
> infrastructure at risk nor as many people to complain about losing power. :)
>
> Mike
>
>
>
-- 
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