Ian
If that were the argument, it would be twice the probability, not half. But of
course a car’s speed is no indication of the whereabouts of a deer, of which
way it is walking or whether it is considering the chances of sex in the near
future :-)
I’m saying that the higher your speed the more likely you are to hit a deer
that has made itself susceptible to such a collision by being there: sex or no
sex, it will avoid a noisy machine if it notices it. And the faster you are
going if you hit said animal, the more severe will be damage to each party to
said collision.
And, if you are travelling fast the probability of your having an accident is
higher, whatever your expertise, than if you were driving more slowly. Driving
fast reduces the probability of your arriving safely at your destination, with
a similar effect on someone else on the road.
Chris
On 7 Nov 2013, at 10:29, SwissPace <ian@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
> But what about the laws of mathematics - surely if one car is travelling
> twice as fast as another along the same stretch of road then there is
> there not half the possibilty that it would come across such a deer
> assuming that the deer doesn't spend all its time on the road and its
> crossing is random. ;-)
>
>
> On 06/11/13 20:20, Ken Norton wrote:
>>> Nonetheless, it remains true that the faster you travel the more likely it
>>> is that you will hit something, whether it’s stupid, or preoccupied,
>>> animal, or a person wandering drunk along the road.
--
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