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Re: [OM] Hurricane Matthew

Subject: Re: [OM] Hurricane Matthew
From: Chris Trask <christrask@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Wed, 5 Oct 2016 08:37:24 -0700 (GMT-07:00)
     The 1100 EDT NHC forecast has Matthew making a broad clockwise circular 
turn to the southeast over the weekend.  I hope that this does not result in 
Matthew revisiting the east coast next week, but we saw this sort of path 
earlier with TS Julia.  This is going to bear close watching.

>
>     Yes, this is a radical departure from the previous forecasts, and 
>certainly a great relief to the northeast Atlantic coast.  I suspect 
>that TS Nicole had some influence here.  It will still be a strong 
>category 3 or weak category 4 storm when it gets to Miami on Friday.
>
>>
>>NOAA's 5 AM track for Wednesday 10/5 shows a significant difference from 
>>the previous several forecasts.  Previously, the location for "2 AM Sat" 
>>was right on the coast at the North Carolina/South Carolina state lines. 
>>  Now it's near the Florida/Georgia line and a significant distance from 
>>the coast.  This shows a significant slowing of the path of the storm 
>>and also a significant weakening.  IIRC, the storm was still a Major (M) 
>>hurricane at that latitude in previous forecasts.
>>
>


Chris

When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro 
     - Hunter S. Thompson
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