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Re: [OM] Hurricane Matthew

Subject: Re: [OM] Hurricane Matthew
From: Chris Trask <christrask@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Wed, 5 Oct 2016 08:55:40 -0700 (GMT-07:00)
     According to the 06Z GFS forecast, that's exactly what is going to happen. 
 Matthew will weaken to a tropical storm and arrive back in Miami next 
Wednesday.  It will hang around for a few days, strengthen, drift over to 
Nasau, and then strengthen further.

     This is going to be very interesting to watch.

>
>     The 1100 EDT NHC forecast has Matthew making a broad clockwise 
>circular turn to the southeast over the weekend.  I hope that this 
>does not result in Matthew revisiting the east coast next week, but 
>we saw this sort of path earlier with TS Julia.  This is going to 
>bear close watching.
>
>>
>>     Yes, this is a radical departure from the previous forecasts, and 
>>certainly a great relief to the northeast Atlantic coast.  I suspect 
>>that TS Nicole had some influence here.  It will still be a strong 
>>category 3 or weak category 4 storm when it gets to Miami on Friday.
>>
>>>
>>>NOAA's 5 AM track for Wednesday 10/5 shows a significant difference from 
>>>the previous several forecasts.  Previously, the location for "2 AM Sat" 
>>>was right on the coast at the North Carolina/South Carolina state lines. 
>>>  Now it's near the Florida/Georgia line and a significant distance from 
>>>the coast.  This shows a significant slowing of the path of the storm 
>>>and also a significant weakening.  IIRC, the storm was still a Major (M) 
>>>hurricane at that latitude in previous forecasts.
>>>
>>
>
>
>Chris
>
>When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro 
>     - Hunter S. Thompson
>-- 
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Chris

When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro 
     - Hunter S. Thompson
-- 
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