----- Original Message -----
From: "Wayne Harridge" <wayneharridge@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Sunday, February 05, 2006 11:34 PM
Subject: [OM] Re: CD, DVD lives, July 2005
>> Moose <olymoose@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>> "Accelerated aging tests
>> show that MAM Gold can be used as a reliable storage media for more than
>> 300 years." Of course, none of us are likely to know if they are right
>> or not. :-) Not cheap compared to the mass market, but may be a
> As a physicist I would NEVER trust any extrapolation from a short test
> (maybe it was 3 years max ?) out to 300 years. Once again marketing
> triumphs over logic !
> Wayne Harridge
Relevant to this disscussion, I'm not sure what the picture that comes up on
that link proves--I suppose it must be that one should extrapolate from it
that the road pictured must certainly go on perfectly straight for-EVER
(since what we see in the picture does so).
Seriously, me, a "mere" psychologist, comepletely agrees with the above
regarding extrapolation--though I'd also admit that if my livleyhood
depended on archives on CD, I might well pony up the money for the MAM.
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