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Re: [OM] Interesting Photo

Subject: Re: [OM] Interesting Photo
From: Chuck Norcutt <chucknorcutt@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Sun, 02 Feb 2014 14:46:52 -0500
Thanks for the info.  I didn't know where Vegas and Arizona stood in the 
pecking order.

Chuck Norcutt


On 2/2/2014 11:55 AM, Chris Trask wrote:
>>
>> Californians ain't seen nothin' yet.  So, far, this is a very minor
>> drought compared to what has happened in long ago history.
>> <http://news.msn.com/in-depth/scientists-past-california-droughts-have-lasted-200-years>
>>   Some more serious water planning and storage is needed.
>>
>
>       Yes, I'm aware of the historical record of precipitation here in the 
> southwest going back almost 2,000 years.  Even though we have those records 
> available, we have not seen anything lke this in "modern" times.  The Bureau 
> of Reclamation (aka Bureau of Wrecked Creation) has now stated openly that we 
> are very likely to see the Cantral Arizona Project (CAP) turned off this year 
> if and when (emphasis on WHEN) Lake Mead drops another 20 feet.  California 
> is first for allocation, Las Vegas is second, and CAP is dead last.  And then 
> there's the treaty with Mexico for delivering a specific amount of water with 
> a capped salinity down the Colorado for their agricultural usage.
>
>       The majority of people living in the arid southwest do not realise how 
> precarious their situation is.  We've been managing water closely here in 
> Arizona for over a century now, but the population growth has all been 
> sustained up to now by way of a wetter than average century, and the Colorado 
> River allocations are based on a short period of abundant rainfall in the 
> early 20th century before Hoover Dam was being built, and virtually nothing 
> was known about the historical record even for a century earlier.
>
>       Same is true for California's Central Valley, which was a desert prior 
> to reclamation and water management.  No amount of management and storage is 
> going to make up for a lack of snowpack, which right now is only 12-15% of 
> normal while reservoirs are drying up.  Some areas are now down to less than 
> 100 days of potable municipal water, even if agriculture was to be turned 
> off.  They at least have the opportunity to construct desalinisation plants, 
> but we here do now have that opportunity.
>
>       Back in the 1950's we had a serious drought that deeply affected 
> Arizona.  The response was to shut off all agricultural allotments and 
> conserve what was left for municipal purposes.  Lake Roosevelt was all but 
> empty, and we've had one recent period where the level was insufficient for 
> the turbine inlets.  Back in the 1950's drought there were fewer than 1 
> million people here, and now we're pressing 6 million.  I know from an 
> analysis done by CAP that if the canal was shut off and all other resources 
> were NOT impacted the most we can support is 4.3 million.  But, if the CAP is 
> shut off you can be certain that all other water resources are similarly 
> impacted.  You can't shut off water to subdivisions, and there is only just 
> so much ground water available.
>
>       I don't like the scenarios that come to mind when you have 6 million 
> people all running around looking for a glass of water.
>
>
> Chris
>
> When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro
>       - Hunter S. Thompson
>
-- 
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